The Final 8 ?

WARNING! :: This post contains spoilers about the set-up of Festival 8!

Picture 1As Indio is less than a week away, a leaked copy of an overall schematic for Festival 8 titled “Battle Plan” hit the internet this week, uncovering some potentially revealing details about The Halloween Set. In the festival site, there are eight campgrounds, each named after one of the potential musical costumes. Conventional wisdom would say that these campground names will be the final eight albums left alive. The campground names are:

Exile on Main Street (Rolling Stones)
The Lamb Lies Down On Broadway (Genesis)
Hunky Dory (David Bowie)
Electric Ladyland (Jimi Hendrix)
Purple Rain (Prince)
Kid A (Radiohead)
Larks’ Tongues In Aspic (King Crimson)
Oracular Spectacular (MGMT, Rumored, not visible on map)

6.6.09 (G.Lucas)

6.6.09 (G.Lucas)

Now there are multiple ways to interpret this information. The first, and most obvious, way to make sense of these campground names is that Phish will play one of these eight albums. In this scenario, all other albums should be “killed off” by the time we head into Indio. Maybe there will be a process of elimination at the festival to get down to the last album alive, maybe we’ll get “Phishbills” as we walk in on the 31st and maybe the band will just get on stage and begin one of these records – who knows?

The second going theory is that there is a secret 100th album that has been “murdering” all the other records in the gallery. In this hypothesis, the entire elimination process has been a decoy, and Phish will solve the “Who Dun It?” mystery by playing the “murdering” suspect – widely conjectured to be The Rolling Stones’ appropriately named “Let It Bleed.” This scenario would certainly fit Phish’s prankster spirit and provide the “Trick” in the holiday’s “Trick or Treat” tradition.

6.4.09 (W.Rogell)

6.4.09 (W.Rogell)

A third way of looking at the leak of these campground names is to call their bluff; this could be all bunk information to mislead us to the very end. Everyone will listen to these eight albums at their campsites to make sure they are familiar with them, and then Phish will come on stage and play “Thriller” or “Ziggy Stardust,” or something different altogether. I certainly wouldn’t put it past the band to have led us on a month-long wild-goose chase while they sat behind the scenes and laughed while rehearsing something else.

phishpumpkin-300x240It’s hard to believe that the band will conclude this album elimination game without any twists or turns – this is Phish after all. With the spirit of Halloween trickery in the air, and with a band known to fuck with their fan base, the only thing to expect is the unexpected. I, personally, believe there is a missing piece that has yet to be revealed.

A bit about the potential Final 8. Noticeably absent from the campground titles is many fans’ favorite, “Ziggy Stardust.” Again, these name may have no predictive value whatsoever, but if they do, the band has opted for “Hunky Dory,” a more mellow, lyrically-based Bowie album that wouldn’t seem to fit for a Halloween blowout. “Larks ‘ Tongues” has awesome potential, though I suspect it would lose the interest of many fans not familiar with King Crimson. Radiohead? MGMT? They just don’t seem to fit, but could push the band in completely different directions. If this really is the final eight, it leads me to think they will play “Exile” “Electric Ladyland” or “Purple Rain.” But, again, who knows?! The questions  and theories will continue to flow until the answer is revealed, and, in the meantime, all we can do is keep guessing!

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Phish Thoughts Ticket Exchange

The ticket exchange board has been revamped for Fall Tour and ready to facilitate trades.  Check it out, post your extras, find the trades you need!

Winged music note=====

Jam of the Day:

Mike’s > Weekapaug” 12.7.95 II

[audio:http://phishthoughts.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/10/ph95-12-07d3t03.mp3,http://phishthoughts.com/wp-content/uploads/2009/10/ph95-12-07d3t04.mp3]

The stellar end to a monumental show in Niagara Falls during December ’95.

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DOWNLOAD OF THE DAY:

10.28.94 Galliard Auditorium, Charleston, SC < Torrent

10.28.94 Galliard Auditorium, Charleston, SC < Megaupload

11.29.03 (C.Raig)

11.29.03 (C.Raig)

Back in 1994, the band was on the road leading up to Halloween, and this night this night in South Carolina marked their second-to-last show before they debuted The White Album. Along the path of a momentum-building tour, this show was no exception. The second set sequence of  “2001 > Bowie > Manteca > Bowie” highlights a well-played show. PS : The Audio Archive is well on its way!

I: I Didn’t Know, Llama, Guelah Papyrus, Scent of a Mule, Stash, Glide, Axilla (Part II), All Things Reconsidered, Sample in a Jar, Carolina

II: Also Sprach Zarathustra > David Bowie -> Manteca -> David Bowie, The Lizards, Peaches en Regalia, Rift, Lifeboy, Chalk Dust Torture, The Old Home Place*, Nellie Kane*, Foreplay/Long Time

E: Fee, Highway to Hell

*Acoustic

Source: Unknown

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456 Responses to “The Final 8 ?”

  1. Ocelot42 Says:

    Only odd thing about Pictures at An Exhibition is that A) it was a live album and B) it was, itself, a cover of a suite of classical music by Mussorgsky. Would they go so far as to make their cover set of a cover set? Well, I guess this is Phish we’re talking about….

  2. albert walker Says:

    ouch…..transports down hard today
    market looking pretty toppy lately

  3. Chuck D Says:

    Things are rarely as they seem with Phish. I’ll be suprised with *any* way it goes down.

  4. GuitarPicker420! Says:

    @albert – October is historically an extremely volatile month. I would bet on the VIX more than anything. That being said, there are some values to be had out there. I have decided to take a longer-term perspective and have been investing in Alternative Energy, both funds and individual plays, particularly globally, and Water. I firmly believe that Water is the new oil, that wars will be fought over it, and lots of money is going to be made off of it in the next decade or so. I’m still young, so I have plenty of time to build up a nest egg, even if they under-perform in the short-term, they are no brainers over the next 10 years or so.

  5. ColonelJoy Says:

    Thanks everyone for the thoughts….I know everyone was rooting for me and have been for some time. Now I think I know what it is like to be a Bills fan….

    BTW, I have been hooked up with an extra for C-Ville….

  6. Robear Says:

    Colonel, r u hitting any other shows besides C-ville?

  7. albert walker Says:

    VIX is trying to bounce up big today

    vol just keeps getting crushed
    everyone is afraid of a flat Japan style market
    people have been crushing vol in everything they can the past few months

    thinking vol is going to pick up is a pretty contrarian trade right now
    we actually have been looking at OTM VIX call spreads as fliers, but we are more afraid of vol coming in

    I like everyone else on the street just questions the validity of this huge move, I’ve done great, but want to think about getting out and getting a little more short

  8. ColonelJoy Says:

    @Robear,

    Well, I’m doing first night Philly….which is my B-Day (got lottery there)…maybe I should do the second night, too….

  9. ColonelJoy Says:

    @ AlbertWalker,

    No way the market won’t test lows….this bounce has a 70s feel to it, does it not? The next bottom will be the bottom and the start of the next bull…

  10. ColonelJoy Says:

    Markettalk getting me off my mind of Indio….shouldn’t be here if I want to get my mind off it….

    Please have a webcast!!

  11. albert walker Says:

    30 day SPX historical vol has been around 16
    DEC SPX options are trading around 20 implied

    Not realizing enough to go long vol and not rich enough (with all the potential negative catalysts) to get short
    Hard to play right now

  12. Selector J Says:

    The one thing that makes me wary of that ELP album is that they would have to basically make an entirely new arrangement for a four piece which seems like a pretty big deal for an album that complex. That, and unless Page already knows the album by heart- he’d have a lot of homework to do before now and then.

  13. albert walker Says:

    I hope Joy

    I’ve done great from buying in March, but at these levels no thanks

    me, you, and every money manager on the street wants a good pull back to start buying with both hands

  14. Lycanthropist Says:

    just now signin on..

    again an explosion of convo.

    will have to read again later

    wont be on tonight or tomorrow much (except my phone), got two gigs to play.

    @all:

    thank you guys so much for the kind offers to help me get out to Fest8, but as I see it, its just not feasible for me right now. Damned my finances, but with my daughter just getting braces, less hours at work, etc etc.. i just can’t do it.

    Party hard for me out there guys, and thanks again, you made me feel good.

  15. yabob Says:

    just thinking now that maybe a “killed-off” album comes back from the dead like a ghost and it’s all explained in harpua or something. Now this coming back from the dead would make sense given that cali came back on the map after floating away. hmmmmm So much fun to speculate. Whatever it may be it will be a blast!

  16. GuitarPicker420! Says:

    @albert – With the money I actively trade with (only 15% of my portfolio), I am sitting at better than 50% cash. I had a couple stocks pop at over 100% return in a matter of weeks. I got out of them and have just been waiting for a pull back to get back in. I think the shipping stocks are getting ready to move, although I am watching what China does with its currency, because if it floats it even a little bit more, trade from China will fall off greatly. However, some of those Greek shippers are dirt cheap right now. I’m not buying into the whole gold thing because it is based on the assumption that China has an option as to what to do with its dollar reserves. The euro and the dollar are both unattractive. In fact, if they would float their currency, it is probably what people would jump into. China stands to lose trillions if the dollar falls to precipitously, thus they will continue to prop it up even as they ease their dollar peg.

  17. albert walker Says:

    Someone said recently
    “Gold goes up when the guys buying it go around the world to conferences talking up how much they love gold”

    Europe, Canada, Japan, everyone getting pretty pissed these asshole US politicians say they support a strong dollar and do everything in their power to destroy it.

    1.50 Euro in this environment does not do great things for them especially areas that are hurting like Spain and Ireland

  18. BTB Says:

    Market will head back down, I’m thinking we get back to 8,200-600 or so. Capital flowed out and then it flew back in. We are overvalued right now and they will be a pull back. Hopefully no Japan “Decade”

  19. GuitarPicker420! Says:

    The best way to avoid a Japan decade is for the fed to read the tea-leaves carefully. Japan raised interest rates too soon, and it resulted in a lost decade. However, Japan had, and has, an even greater real-estate bubble, and their export oriented economy could not be propped up by consumer demand at home. This is a problem that China will face sooner rather than later too, particularly with their currency peg. If they would float the yuan, their exports would go down, but they could spur local demand. With rising wages in China, it will cease to be a low-cost provider in the next decade or two. Look to Africa as the last bastion of low-wage, dictatorships to grab manufacturing jobs. The real hang up there has been lack of stability and safety in many of those nations.

  20. Ocelot42 Says:

    Man, my Political Econ, micro- and macroeconomics from back in college are just barely getting me by in understanding this conversation. Still fascinating stuff, though.

  21. Type III Jamming Personality Disorder Says:

    I think my clicker is busted. I am trying to get the Phish Talk channel and it keeps getting stuck on Bloomberg. Weird… 😉

  22. Mr. Completely Says:

    @GuitarPicker420 – classic story! So funny!

    I heart Van Halen. Not ironically. Up thru Diver Down without reservation, 1984 with reservation, though Hot For Teacher is a classic tune. Early Eddie Van Halen riffs are actually underrated IMO – people think of him as just the first technical showoff tapping guy to make it big, but he played with a ton of funky feel and swing. Great get-you-pumped, make you feel young music.

    Not a good costume choice, not sorry to see if off the list, but, I just have to rep some Halen…

  23. Robear Says:

    type III swoops in with the daily ‘LOL’ post. mmm, topics for the Oasis. We might have to break it down into workshops and schizz.

  24. Selector J Says:

    Tangential thought:

    I was introduced to this idea of “musical costume” on Halloween by Phish and thought it was their innovation.

    Did anyone do this before Phish? I’m inclined to think they weren’t the first but I don’t know of anyone who did it prior to them.

  25. Ocelot42 Says:

    I don’t know if Phish was the first, but I found it funny reading the Wikipedia on the Prog Metal band Dream Theater that they’ve covered several albums in their entirety (including Master of Puppets) and that one of the band members attributed the idea to Phish, one of his favourite bands. Even metal loves Phish. They should cover Carini.

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